{"id":872,"date":"2013-07-31T20:17:49","date_gmt":"2013-07-31T18:17:49","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.thinkingafrica.org\/V2\/?p=872"},"modified":"2021-05-25T16:04:02","modified_gmt":"2021-05-25T14:04:02","slug":"maladie-hollandaise-un-probleme-dajustement-le-cas-du-congo","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.thinkingafrica.org\/V2\/maladie-hollandaise-un-probleme-dajustement-le-cas-du-congo\/","title":{"rendered":"Maladie hollandaise, un probl\u00e8me d&rsquo;ajustement: Le cas du Congo"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Par Ghislain Nzinzi | Consultant et Professeur d\u2019\u00e9conomie<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.thinkingafrica.org\/V2\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/total_petrole_congo.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone  wp-image-874\" alt=\"total_petrole_congo\" src=\"http:\/\/www.thinkingafrica.org\/V2\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/total_petrole_congo.jpg\" width=\"438\" height=\"336\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.thinkingafrica.org\/V2\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/total_petrole_congo.jpg 626w, https:\/\/www.thinkingafrica.org\/V2\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/total_petrole_congo-600x460.jpg 600w, https:\/\/www.thinkingafrica.org\/V2\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/total_petrole_congo-300x230.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.thinkingafrica.org\/V2\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/total_petrole_congo-80x60.jpg 80w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 438px) 100vw, 438px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong>R\u00e9sum\u00e9<\/strong><br \/>\nLa maladie hollandaise (ou \u00ab mal hollandais \u00bb) est un ph\u00e9nom\u00e8ne \u00e9conomique paradoxal, observ\u00e9 souvent dans les pays en d\u00e9veloppement, dans lequel cohabite une dichotomie entre le foisonnement, d\u2019une part, de ressources naturelles tr\u00e8s lucratif et, d\u2019autre part, la paup\u00e9risation d\u2019une grande partie de la population due, dans une certaine mesure, \u00e0 l\u2019inhibition du secteur manufacturier. Le but de ce papier est de montrer que l\u2019existence de cette maladie serait plut\u00f4t le r\u00e9sultat d\u2019inefficience du march\u00e9 et de l\u2019\u00c9tat qui ne jouent pas suffisamment leurs r\u00f4les de r\u00e9gulateur de l\u2019\u00e9conomie. L\u2019horizon des chefs d\u2019entreprises n\u2019\u00e9tant pas \u00e9clair\u00e9, l\u2019utilisation des facteurs de production est loin d\u2019\u00eatre optimale, mettant parfois en danger la coh\u00e9sion sociale. Cependant, avec les redevances p\u00e9troli\u00e8res extr\u00eamement \u00e9lev\u00e9es, les autorit\u00e9s pourraient r\u00e9orienter cette manne vers les investissements innovants afin d\u2019enclencher le processus de remont\u00e9e de fili\u00e8res n\u00e9cessaire au d\u00e9veloppement du pays.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Introduction<\/strong><br \/>\nDepuis le d\u00e9but des ann\u00e9es 2000, l\u2019augmentation de la demande mondiale des mati\u00e8res premi\u00e8res, g\u00e9n\u00e9r\u00e9e par l\u2019amplification de la demande des pays \u00e9mergents, a \u00e9t\u00e9 providentielle pour certains pays africains qui ont su profiter de cet effet d\u2019aubaine pour investir massivement sur le secteur en expansion, le secteur p\u00e9trolier et gazier en particulier. Selon les donn\u00e9es de la CNUCED, les flux d\u2019investissements \u00e9trangers en Afrique s\u2019\u00e9tablissent \u00e0 50 milliards de dollars en 2012 (contre seulement 9.62 milliards de dollars en 2000). La production manufacturi\u00e8re, quant \u00e0 elle, peine \u00e0 d\u00e9coller nonobstant le taux de croissance annuel du PIB \u00e9lev\u00e9 (5 % en moyenne entre 2000 et 2012). Certains \u00e9conomistes pensent que l\u2019afflux de devises \u00e9trangers dans le pays et le niveau de pauvret\u00e9 sont corr\u00e9l\u00e9s positivement.<\/p>\n<p>Nous montrerons, dans cet article, que le mal hollandais n\u2019est qu\u2019un probl\u00e8me d\u2019ajustement d\u00fb \u00e0 un choc exog\u00e8ne qui pourrait \u00eatre canalis\u00e9 si les autorit\u00e9s orientent astucieusement cette rente p\u00e9troli\u00e8re vers<br \/>\ndes investissements productifs et innovants. Pour cela, nous tenterons, dans un premier temps, d\u2019examiner les d\u00e9s\u00e9quilibres \u00e9conomiques engendr\u00e9s par ce ph\u00e9nom\u00e8ne. Ensuite, nous analyserons l\u2019existence du mal hollandais \u00e0 travers le prisme de l\u2019\u00e9conomie congolaise.<\/p>\n[highlight bg=\u00a0\u00bb#ffffff\u00a0\u00bb color=\u00a0\u00bb#d84a3a\u00a0\u00bb]<a href=\"http:\/\/www.thinkingafrica.org\/V2\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/TA_NAP_8_-Maladie-Hollandaise.pdf\"><strong>TELECHARGEZ LA NOTE D&rsquo;ANALYSE POLITIQUE EN PDF<\/strong><\/a>[\/highlight]\n<div class=\"su-document su-u-responsive-media-yes\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"\/\/docs.google.com\/viewer?embedded=true&url=http:\/\/www.thinkingafrica.org\/V2\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/TA_NAP_8_-Maladie-Hollandaise.pdf\" width=\"400\" height=\"300\" class=\"su-document\" title=\"\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Par Ghislain Nzinzi | Consultant et Professeur d\u2019\u00e9conomie R\u00e9sum\u00e9 La maladie hollandaise (ou \u00ab mal hollandais \u00bb) est un ph\u00e9nom\u00e8ne \u00e9conomique paradoxal, observ\u00e9 souvent dans les pays en d\u00e9veloppement, dans lequel cohabite une dichotomie entre le foisonnement, d\u2019une part, de ressources naturelles tr\u00e8s lucratif et, d\u2019autre part, la paup\u00e9risation d\u2019une grande partie de la population [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":874,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,239,34,40],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-872","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-afrique-centrale","category-nzinzi","category-analyse-politique","category-gouvernance"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - 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